§Use the
Katrina evacuation data as the baseline scenario
§
§Assume
that a percentage of evacuees will follow the EVAC recommendations
or use EVAC information to adjust their travel plans; other
travelers will not change their travel plans (i.e., route, destination or
departure time)
§
§Multiple
percentage assumptions will be used to estimate a range of potential
impacts
§
§Assume no
gaps in EVAC communications
§
§Calculate
the performance measure differences between the EVAC strategy
and the baseline conditions